During their final semester, Master of International Affairs (MIA) students participate in a capstone research course. These courses allow students to tackle a problem or project in the real world, often working in conjunction with a government agency or nonprofit organization. Designed to test the knowledge and abilities students have developed through their previous classes and experiences, capstones necessitate strong teamwork, careful research, writing ability and, often, a large amount of ingenuity in identifying ways to approach an issue or find a solution.

2026-2027

Analysis of Commercial and Military Space Industries of Emerging Space Powers

Client: DIA Office of Space and Counterspace

Instructor: S. White

Best Practices on Nation Building in Support of the Afghanistan War Commission

Client: Afghanistan War Commission

Instructor: L. Weissgold

International Governance of Artificial Intelligence (AI), Particularly as it relates to the Incorporation of AI in Weapons.

Client:  Dr. Robing Geiss, Director of the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDR)

Instructor:  Gary Brown

Exploring the Future of European Security

Client: Sandia National Laboratories

Instructor:  Prof. Jasen Castillo

Long Term Recovery Efforts following the January 2024 Wildfires in Los Angeles, CA

Client: California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES)

Instructor:  Prof. Silva Hamie

Research Hostage Negotiations in the Middle East Region from Before and After the 10/7 Attacks with a View Towards Identifying and Improving Negotiation Tactics Moving Forward

Client:  Reichman University – Institute of Counter terrorism

Instructor:  Prof. Mike Howell

 

 

Exploring USNORTHCOM’s Expanded Human Trafficking Role in the Context of Surge Events

Client:  USNORTHCOMM/USAFA

Instructor:  Prof. Valerie Hudson

Contemporary Technology to Support National Security Space Policy & Guidance

Client:   US Space Force

Instructor:  Prof. Mike Jackson

AI for Elections

Client: NGO – International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES)

Instructor:  Prof. Andrew Natsios

Tearline Project

Client:   National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA)

Instructor:  Prof. Elizabeth Sherman

Border Security

Client: National Security Agency/Central Security Service

Instructor:  Prof. Kathie Weary

2025-2026

Evaluation of CI and CT Threats to US Infrastructure

Client: FBI

Instructor: M. Kelly

Rebuilding Syria’s Security Sector: Lessons from Columbia, Northern Ireland & Liberia for post-Conflict Transition and Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration

Client: SOCOM

Instructor: A. Holmes

Strategic US Military Lessons from Ukraine and Iran for a Potential Conflict with China

Client: Center for Naval Analyses

Instructor: S. Daly

Deterrence Under Strain: Iran’s Evolving Security Strategy

Client: CSIS

Instructor: S. Daly

“Break Glass”: Measures of Effectiveness to Track Insurgency Successes and Failures

Client: Afghanistan War Commission

Instructor: L. Weissgold

Cyber Policy

Client:  Conrad Prince of the Royal Uniformed Services Institute (RUSI)

Instructor:  Gary Brown

Nuclear Escalation Management: Lessons Learned from the Cold War

Client: National Nuclear Security Administration Sandia National Laboratories

Instructor:  Prof. Jasen Castillo

A Qualitative Evaluation of the response to 2023 wildfires in Maui

Client: Maui Emergency Management Agency (TBC)

Instructor:  Prof. Silva Hamie

Overcoming Challenges to Migrant Integration in Latin America: What Works and Why?

Client: US Agency for International Development (USAID), Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)

Instructor:  Prof. Ben Helms

Taking Stock and Looking Forward: WPS at 25

Client: The Office of Global Women’s Issues of the US State Department

Instructor:  Prof. Valerie Hudson

Armed Groups and International Humanitarian Law: Protecting Children in Armed Conflict

Client:  Watchlist on Children and Armed Conflict

Instructor:  Prof. Reyko Huang

Tailoring National Security Theory and Policy for the Space Domain

Client:  US Space Force – Space Delta 15

Instructor:  Prof. Mike Jackson

USAID Reconstruction Effort in Iraq Following the 2003 US Invasion

Client:  Middle East Bureau of USAID

Instructor:  Prof. Andrew Natsios

Organizational Design Options for Effective US Economic Statecraft

Client: INDOPACOM

Instructor:  Prof. William Norris

Safeguarding Farming Livelihoods, Conserving Wildlife

Client: Cheetah Conservation of Botswana

Instructor:  Prof. Leslie Ruyle

CIA-DNI joint Capstone Project

Client:  DNI Funding, CIA Supervisor on Terrorism and Middle East

Instructor:  Prof. Ronald Sievert

Russian and PRC role in fomenting Violent Extremist Organizations and Countering Violent Extremist Operations

Client:  United States Special Operations Command (SOCOM)

Instructor:  Prof. Greg Vogle

Malign Foreign Influence on Election Survey

Client:  National Security Agency/Central Security service

Instructor:  Prof. Kathie Weary

2024-2025

Armed Groups & Int’l Humanitarian Law: Protecting Children in Armed Conflict

Client: Watchlist on Children and Armed Conflict

Instructor: Huang

Tailoring National Security Theory & Policy for the Space Domain Client

Client: US Space Force–Space Delta 15

Instructor: Jackson

Russia’s and the People’s Republic of China’s Role in Fomenting Violent Extremist Organizations & Countering Violent Extremist Operations

Client: United States Special Operations Command (SOCOM)

Instructor: Vogle

Overcoming Challenges to Migrant Integration in Latin America: What Works & Why

Client: Latin America & the Caribbean (LAC) Bureau of USAID

Instructor: Helms

A Qualitative Evaluation of the Response to 2023 Wildfires in Maui

Client: Maui Emergency Management Agency (TBC)

Instructor: Hamie

Safeguarding Farming Livelihoods, Conserving Wildlife

Client: Cheetah Conservation of Botswana

Instructor: Ruyle

USAID Reconstruction Effort in Iraq Following the 2003 IS Invasion

Client: Middle East Bureau of USAID

Instructor: Natsios

Taking Stock & Looking Forward: Women, Peace, Security at 25

Client: The Office of Global Women’s Issues of the US State Dept

Instructor: Hudson

Nuclear Escalation Management: Lessons Learned from the Cold War

Client: National Nuclear Security Administration Sandia National Laboratories

Instructor: Castillo

Strategic Competition with China

Client: INDOPACOM

Instructor: Norris

Cyber Policy

Client: Conrad Prince of the Royal Uniformed Services Institute

Instructor: Brown

Malign Foreign Influence on Election Survey

Client: NSA/Central Security Service

Instructor: Weary

Post-Assad Syria: An Assessment of Terrorism, National Security, and Interests of the United States

Client: CIA

Instructor: E. Lemon

The Malign Use of Artificial Intelligence to Target the US Senate: Mitigating Current and Future Threats

Client: Senate Sgt Arms

Instructor: G. Ross

Securing Undersea Cables: Protecting US Economic and National Security Interests

Client: DNI

Instructor: G. Ross

2023-2024

Understanding the Pathways to Nuclear Escalation in Conventional Conflicts

Client: Sandia National Laboratories, Los Alamos National Laboratory, and the RAND Corporation

Instructor: J Castillo

Community Approaches to Disaster Risk Reduction

Client: IOM (Int’l Organization of Migration)

Instructor: S Hamie

Women/Peace/Security, Climate Change, and Environmental Insecurity

Client: State Department’s Office of Global Women’s Issues

Instructor: V Hudson

Space Deterrence: Creating a Tailorable Framework for the Newest Warfighting Domain

Client: Dir. of National Space Defense Center (U.S. Space Command) & Com. of Space Delta 15 (U.S. Space Force)

Instructor: M Jackson

Detecting and Understanding Constraints to the Economic Integration of Venezuelan Migrants in South America

Client: USAID’s Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean

Instructor: J Morales-Arilla

EDEP/China/Education/Social Mobility/Quant Analysis

Client: The World Bank: Salman Asim, Sr. Economist, Education Global Practice *Mara Ana Lugo, Program Leader for China, Mongolia, and Korea, Human Devp, E. Asia & Pacific *Sailesh Tiwari, Lead Economist, Poverty and Equity Global Practice, E. Asia & Pacific

Instructor: R Mu

The Unfolding North Korean Famine

Client: Bureau of Humanitarian Assistance in the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID)

Instructor: A Natsios

Organizational Designs for Effective U.S. Economic Statecraft

Client: Center for Presidential Transition

Instructor: W Norris

How will emerging technologies impact U.S. decision making?

Client: CIA

Instructor: R Sievert

Over the Horizon Technology – Artificial Intelligence Elements – Safety, Security, Trust, Explainability, & Privacy

Client: National Security Agency/ Central Security Service

Instructor: K Weary

Title Unknown

Client: Sandia National Laboratory

Instructor: K Weary

Regarding the work of NATO and the EU in the Baltic States – Riga, Latvia

Client: Baltic Security Foundation

Instructor: G Marin Thornton

Title Unknown

Client: FBI

Instructor: M Howell

2022-2023

Understanding Russian Efforts to Undermine the Non-Proliferation Regime

Client: The Rand Corporation and Sandia National Lab

Instructor: J Castillo

CIA’s Attempt to Incorporate the Best Government and Private Intelligence Practices and Personnel in the US

Client: Central Intelligence Agency

Instructor: R Sievert

Detailing Career Intelligence Employees for Assignments in the Private Sector and Accepting Private Intelligence Employees for Tours of Duty in the Intelligence Community.

Improving Security Cooperation to Meet 21st Century Challenges

Client: Defense Security Cooperation University (DSCU), a component of the Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA)

Instructor: A Chinchilla

Examining Intelligence Support to the SOF Triad (Space, Cyber, SOF)

Client: US Army Special Operations Command (USASOC), ARCYBER, US Space Command, Joint Special Operations University, DIA

Instructor: M Gill

The Impact of Existing Risk Management Regulations on Wildfires in Greece

Client: Athena Research Center- Greece

Instructor: S Hamie

The First Frontier, Hungary, Immigration, and the European Union

Client: U.S. Embassy, Budapest, Hungary

Instructor: R Holzweiss

Information Protection Certification

Client: FBI, Headquarters, Counterintelligence Division

Instructor: M Howell

A New National Policy Framework for Making the United States (U.S.) Space Sector a Formally Designated U.S. Critical Infrastructure Sector

Client: Cyber Committee of the Space ISAC

Instructor: K McLaughlin

2021-2022

Understanding Economic Mobility in China: the Poor, the Vulnerable, and the Middle Class

Client: The World Bank (Poverty & Equity Practice – East Asia & Pacific)

Pros and Cons of the US Drafting & Passing a Domestic Terrorism Law at Federal Level

Client: The Soufan Center

Can We Do Better? Progress and Challenges Combating Ransomware Attacks

Client: FBI & NCFTA

How the Role of the UNHCR Progressed in Responding to the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Jordan

Client: U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees

An Arsenal of Authoritarianism? Understand the Effect of Russian and Chinese Arm Sales

Client: RAND Corporation

The Taliban Effect in the Middle East and Implications for the US

Client: Dept of State & the US Institute of Peace

From Bush to Biden: Assessing US Security Strategies toward Central America’s Northern Triangle

Client: Dept of Defense’s US Southern Command (SOUTHCOM)

How and When Will China Achieve a Military Competitive Advantage in Space?

Client: U.S. Space Force

Online Harassment and Women’s Political Participation

Client: The State Dept’s Office of Global Women’s Issues

How China and Russia are Effectively Employing Information Warfare

Client: USCYBEROM

How Should a Govt/Private Org that Obtains and Shares Sensitive Info with Its Workforce Effectively Accomplish Its Mission When Employees are Separated or Absent from an Office Environment

Client: Central Intelligence Agency

2020-2021

China’s Expansionist Designs

Client: Stratfor

A Fragile State Strategy and its effect on USSOUTHCOM Lines of Effort

Client: US SOUTHCOM

What’s Next for the EU: Increased or Decreased Cooperation After the Corona Virus?

Client: The Atlantic Council DC

The Preparedness and Response to a Hurricane amid a Pandemic Challenge. Case study: Louisiana in 2020

Client: Center on Conflict and Development (Texas A&M)

The Future of the U.S. in Afghanistan

Client: US CENTCOM

Strengthening Municipal Security to Prevent Crime and Violence in Mexico

Client: USAID Mexico City Office

Malign Foreign Influence

Client: National Security Agency/Central Security Service

The Evolution of al Qaeda post 9/11

Client: Soufan Group

Women Peace and Security

Client: Office of Global Women’s Issues (Dept. of State)

Iran’s Partnerships with China and Russia

Client: Department of State

Defining and Explaining Conflicts in the “Gray Zone”

Client: The RAND Corporation

Breaking Down the Barriers to Transnational Cyber-Threat Mitigation

Client: FBI & NCFTA

China

Client: United States Indo-Pacific Command

Democratic Erosion: Translation Data for Policy

Client: State DRL and NDI

2019-2020

Research to Policy Translation for Experimental Learning: Fundamental Freedoms

Client: Nat’l Democratic Institute

How Can Government Intelligence, Law Enforcement and Commercial Enterprise Identify the Relevant Actionable Signal in the Overwhelming Noise of Today’s Big Data Collection?

Client: Stratfor

Economic & Security Effects of Illicit Natural Resources Trafficking in Latin Am

Client: USSOUTHCOM, Defense Dept.

UNICEF’s Hajati cash assistance program for vulnerable children & their families in Jordan

Client: UNICEF-Jordan

What Future for Nuclear Arms Control? Toward an Analytical Framework

Client: Center for Global Security and Cooperation, Sandia National Laboratories

The Fall of the Berlin Wall Thirty Years Later

Client: Dr. Niels V. Redecker, the Director of the German Information Center at the Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany in Washington D.C.

Extremists/Terrorists’ Use of Cryptocurrency

Client: NSA/Central Security Service – Counter-Terrorism Office

Women, Peace and Security

Client: Office of Global Women’s Issues, US State Department

Rivalries and Alliances among Militant Non-State Actors in the Middle East

Client: Department of State

Understanding Russia’s Nuclear Strategy

Client: The RAND Corporation’s Intelligence Policy Center

Breaking Down the Barriers to Transnational Cyber-Threat Mitigation

Client: NCFTA

Economic Statecraft

Client: Office of Commercial and Economic Analysis

2018-2019

Identifying Trends in Democratic Erosion

Client: Consortium for Elections and Political Process Strengthening (CEPPS)

Instructor: Professor Jessica Gottlieb

The Effects of the Syrian Refugees’ Informal settlements on the Lebanese Government Policies and the Labor Market

Client: Center for Conflict and Development

Instructor: Professor Silva Hamie

Competing in a Complex Environment: China in Latin America and the Caribbean

Client: United States Southern Command (USSOUTHCOM)

Instructor: Gen. Don MacWillie

Is Investing in Women’s Economic Empowerment an Investment in National Security and Stability?

Client: Office of Global Women’s Issues, US Department of State

Instructor: Professor Valerie Hudson

U.S. Export Control: Changes and Impact on U.S. Business and National Security

Client: Stratfor

Instructor: Professor Ron Sievert

2017-2018

Iran-Contra and U.S. Bilateral Relations with Nicaragua A Retrospective

Client: US Embassy Manaugua, Nicaragua

Instructor: Dr. Robert Holzweiss, Deputy Director, G.H.W. Bush Presidential Library

Democratic Erosion: Knowing It When We See It

Client: USAID Democracy, Human Rights and Governance Center

Instructor: Professor Jessica Gottlieb

Gender, Terrorism, and Foreign Fighters

Client: Office of Women’s Issues, U.S. Department of State

Instructor: Professor Valerie Hudson

Understanding Entrepreneurship in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Client: The Center on Conflict and Development

Instructor: Dr. Leslie Ruyle

Iran and Kurdish Nationalism in the Middle East

Client: U.S. Department of State

Instructor: Professor Mohammad Tabaar

UNICEF’s Education Program for the Syrian Refugee Children in Lebanon

Client: UNICEF

Instructor: Professor Silva Hamie

Assessing the Value of USSOUTHCOM’s “Shaping” Lines of Effort in Promoting Regional Security and Stability.

Client: United States Southern Command (USSOUTHCOM)

Instructor: Gen. Don MacWillie

2016-2017

Operation Just Cause and U.S.-Panama Relations: A Twenty-Five Year Retrospective

Client: U.S. Embassy in Panama – Cultural Affairs Section

Instructor: Dr. Robert Holzweiss, Deputy Director, George H.W. Bush Presidential Library

Furtherance of WWF Structuring and Framing of Landscape Finance Programs

Client: World Wildlife Fund

Instructor: Deborah Walker

Attitudes of Host Communities Toward Refugees Over Time

Client: Center on Conflict and Development, Texas A&M University

Instructor: Dr. Silva Hamie

Trends and Determinants of Asylum in Europe: Evidence from the Syrian Refugee Crisis

Client: The Center on Conflict and Development at Texas A&M University and USAID

Instructor: Professor Ren Mu

Comparative Analysis of U.S., Russian, and Chinese Activities in Latin America and the Caribbean to Focus USSOUTHCOM Partner of Choice Actions.

Client: USSOUTHCOM, Doral, Florida

Instructor: Gen. Don Mac Willie

Assessing Health Outcomes in Romania: Interpretation of Results of HCV Treatment Programs in Two Romanian Regions

Client: Texas Children’s Hospital, Houston, TX

Instructor: Amb. Eduardo Aguirre

Iran After Khamenei

Client: Middle East Institute, Washington

Instructor: Professor Mohammad Tabaar

2015

Youth Employment in Ghana: Conditions and Determinants

Client: Human Development Network of the World Bank and USAID

Supervising Instructor: Ren Mu

Authors: Zachary Barrett, Andrea Berrios, Yukuai He, Sean Larsen, Miguel Novoa, Kwame Twumasi-Ankraah, Camille Vega

Youth employment, and its limitations, is a pertinent problem that most developing nations face. “Youth Employment in Ghana: Conditions and Determinants” is a student-led research project that summarizes and analyzes the conditions of youth employment in Ghana as of 2013. The purpose of this report is to provide a comprehensive analysis of the impacts of individual, household, and community characteristics on youth employment outcomes. This study finds that Ghana’s youth labor issues center around the low quality of jobs rather than unemployment. The findings highlight the issue of gender gap, the importance of family background and community infrastructure in youth labor outcomes.

Youth Employment in Ghana Capstone

Building Resilience Through Crisis: An Assessment of UNDP Syria

Client: United Nations Development Program

Supervising Professor: Silva Hamie

The Frontlines of Justice: Exploring the Impact of Access to Justice Initiatives in Fragile and Conflict-affected States

Client: The World Bank – Governance Practice

Supervising Professor: Reyko Huang

Information and Voter Evaluation of Legislators in a Clientelistic Democracy: A Field Experiment in Benin

Client: CEPRODE

Supervising Professor: Jessica Gottlieb

Merging Governance Models: A Norms-Based Cyber Deterrence Strategy

Client: USCYBERCOM

Supervising Professor: Andrew L. Ross

The National Security Advisor: Serving a Constituency of One

Client: Miller Center for Oral History, University of Virginia

Supervising Instructor: Robert Holzweiss

Shaping the Seas: Isolating Chinese Narratives of Territorial Conflict

Client: USINDOPACOM

Supervising Professor: David Millar

Strengthening the Federal Government’s Processes for Stockpiling Biodefense Countermeasures

Client: National Defense University, Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction

Supervising Professor: Col. (R) Don W. Bailey

Looking Eastward: Establishing Programs to Enhance Trilateral Relations (U.S., EU, China)

Client: Robert Bosch Stiftung

Supervising Professor: Gabriela Marin Thornton

Using Humor to Counter Extremist Groups’ Use of Social Media

Client: U.S. Department of State

Supervising Professor: Ron Sievert

2014

Evaluating the Implementation of the National Strategy for Biosurveillance

Client: Assistant Secretary of Defense for Chemical, Biological Radiological, and Nuclear Matters & The Joint Requirements Office for CBRN Defense, Joint Chiefs of Staff, J-8

Supervising Instructor: Col. (R) Don W. Bailey

Authors: Iain Armstrong, Erin Berry, Alexander Bitter, Leland Colburn, Kathleen Karika, Jose Paulino, Rebekah Redden, Thomas “Tex” Vien, Lodrick Williams

On July 31, 2012, the President of the United States signed into effect the first-ever National Security Strategy for Biosurveillance. This Strategy’s goal is to provide the critical information and ongoing situational awareness that enables better decision-making at all levels. Students in this capstone became familiar with the concepts of biosurveillance; reviewed past plans and policies; reviewed current thought on implementation through open source literature and interviews with experts; and then developed recommendations on how to implement this security strategy.

Improving Health Interventions in Conflict Affected Liberia: A Community-based Approach

Client: USAID, Center of Excellence on Democracy, Human Rights and Governance

Supervising Instructor: Scott Pool

Authors: Dustin Achgill, Jacob Geray, Hafid El Hachimi, Vaibhavi Jadhav, Emily Mullins, Himani Reddy, Trey Sparks, Natalia Valdez-Vivas, Erik Walker

This capstone builds on efforts taking place within USAID by bringing together students from the George Bush School of Government and Public Service and the School of Rural Public Health. The project focused on how donor agencies are engaging with local organizations and governments to facilitate incremental improvements in governance, institutional capacity and formal/informal aspects of accountability, examining how core competencies from health and democracy sectors can yield more sustainable development outcomes.

Emerging Trends with a Significant Impact on the US Intelligence Community

Client: CIA

Supervising Instructor: Ron Sievert

Authors: Amber Stubblefield, Leah Stockstill, Emily Westerhof, Eric Hopper, Zach Pinones, Mark Niegelsky, Devon Mickle, Cristina Davis, Caroline Rothrock

This project involved conducting a survey of students or new IC employees to determine the current attitude, knowledge, perceptions, and standard methodological approach of millennial applicants and employees. The goal was to understand how current culture has affected the thinking of college age students who constitute the potential future workforce, informing IC recruitment, career shaping, and collection/analysis practices.

US Strategic Options for Iran

Client: U.S. State Department

Supervising Instructor: Mohammad Tabaar

Authors: Amber Stubblefield, Leah Stockstill, Emily Westerhof, Eric Hopper, Zach Pinones, Mark Niegelsky, Devon Mickle, Cristina Davis, Caroline Rothrock

The goal of this capstone was to identify, analyze, and assess various courses of action that the United States can take towards Iran. Looking through the prism of US grand strategy in the Persian Gulf, this project evaluated the costs and benefits of a wide range of options, from military confrontation to full rapprochement between Washington and Tehran. The team conducted original research, including interviews with former and current US officials, addressing issues such as Iran’s nuclear challenge, its role in Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan, and human rights and democracy promotion.

2013

Counterterrorism in Syria: Three Potential Scenarios for 2015

Client: National Counter Terrorism Center

Supervising Instructor: Richard Mac Namee

Authors: Jacob Brahce, Jessica Koloini, Reginald Thompson, Patrick Issa, Chandra Caldwell, Gabriel Bedingfield, Brett Ayers, Garrett VanderGrinten, Caitlin Harwood

NCTC traveled to College Station to meet the students and refine the subject area. The team was subdivided into topic specific areas under a Project Manager. Throughout the semester the team developed a 60 minute presentation of their collective findings, which was presented to NCTC in DC towards the end of April 2013. The team’s findings were also captured in a written deliverable submitted to NCTC at the time of the presentation.

2012

Implementation of the Joint Duty Program at CIA: Analysis and Recommendations

Client: Center for the Study of Intelligence

Supervising Instructor: Ronald Sievert

Authors: Judah Burk, Elizabeth Jones, Paige Ericson, Cheryl Mitchell, Kara Fillman, Randy Rodgers, Jon Graber, Naomi Wilson

This report assesses the strengths and weaknesses of the Joint Duty (JD) program as it is currently implemented at the CIA. The Bush School 2012 Capstone interviewed 160 CIA employees who completed a JD assignment. The study concluded that employees find value in the program, are well-integrated within their host agency, and achieve the program’s mission of increasing employees’ knowledge of other Intelligence Community agencies. Weaknesses identified included disproportionately high numbers of employees choosing ODNI and NRO assignments, insufficient manager guidance, failure to maintain contact with JD employees, difficulty returning to CIA upon completion, and inconsistent views regarding promotion potential.

Core Liabilities and Accelerants of Terrorism: A Case Study of Germany, Denmark, and France

Client: National Counter Terrorism Center

Supervising Instructor: Richard Mac Namee

Authors: David Arceneaux, Casey Braswell, Brett Heil, Adam Kirby, Keith Landry, Amy Murphy, Tom Nypaver, Elizabeth Solch, Keith Wilkinson

Understanding a country’s complex security environment and its vulnerability to terrorism is difficult. Terrorism in today’s world is fluid, personalized, and dynamic. To mitigate the threats of terrorism, a country must understand the nature of threats facing its security environment by identifying the core liabilities and accelerants that most directly impact its security environment in a negative way.

What to Cut and How to Cut? Historical Lessons From Past Reductions in the Intelligence Community

Client: The RAND Corporation’s Intelligence Policy Center

Supervising Instructor: Jasen Castillo

Authors: Austin Cook, William Edmiston, Stuart Glenn, Derek Goodwin, Matthew Kaehr, James Nebl, Benjamin Phares, Elizabeth Yang, Jessica Yeo

Under what conditions can the Intelligence Community cut its resources while still maintaining their effectiveness? This project examined lessons learned from previous eras of reduction, helping the Intelligence Community think about what to cut and how to implement changes while still carrying out missions effectively. The project produced an article-length report as well as a briefing presented to the sponsor in Washington, DC.

2011

Background on Zambia’s Labor Market with Cross-national Comparisons

Client: The World Bank

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Ren Mu

Authors: Alexander Chester, Thao Dang, Amanda Edgell, Matthew Harber, Dace Mahanay, Matthew Messer, Meaghan Mueller, Luis Ramos

Although Zambia has enjoyed decent economic growth, its employment growth and labor productivity have continued to stagnate. This Capstone project aims to answer this question through empirical analysis of employment decisions and labor productivity at the firm level using the 2008 Zambia Business Survey and the 2011 World Bank Investment Climate Survey. The study concludes that to improve business registration, policymakers should target rural and agricultural firms, reduce red-tape, and expand education. To improve labor productivity and employment, focus should be on targeting younger firms, increasing agricultural yields, improving infrastructure, and fighting government corruption.

Database of Development Projects in Conflict Zones

Client: Borlaug Institute for International Agriculture at Texas A&M University

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Kishore Gawande

Authors: Michele Breaux, Jared Carter, Yue Cui, Mary Gaard, Jerry Kenney, Melissa La Reau, Armando Rojas, David Sutton

A database and GIS map detail the location and outcome of over 8000 development projects. Most of these are CERP projects undertaken by US armed forces in Afghanistan. The GIS map allows users to click on points showing the location of projects and access details such as project cost, funder, and project goals. The database includes CERP, PRT, Borlaug, USAID, and other projects.

Critical Infrastructure and Cyber Security

Client: CENTRA Technology

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Jeffrey Engel

Authors: Aimee Anderson, Abby Doll, Andrew Giblin, Matthew Jennings, Shelley Nauss, Renee Pirrong, Stephanie Shaffer, George Stasny

The team was tasked by CENTRA Technology, Inc., to create a methodology that could be used to prioritize critical cyber assets in the United States. They developed a user-friendly, consequence-based methodology that requires end users to carefully consider their cyber assets’ contributions to vital missions of national security, economic security, and public safety.

Identifying the Strength of Iranian Opposition Groups

Client: The RAND Corporation’s Intelligence Policy Center

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Jasen Castillo

Authors: Riley Barnes, Stephen Davis, Dori Enderle, Matthew Jacobs, Laura Joost, Michael Perkins, Steven Snodgrass, Nathanael Stone, Melisa Woolfolk

The project developed a framework comparing opposition groups and regimes across different historical cases. The team argued the Iranian regime retains a strong grip on power, using both the threat of US intervention and domestic support for its nuclear program to rally support for the government. Unlike recent revolutions in the Arab world, the opposition stands little chance of toppling the government. The project’s framework also identified conditions under which the Iranian opposition might gain enough strength to overthrow the regime.

Fall 2010

Ukraine’s Military Role in the Black Sea Region

Client: Ukrainian Congress Committee of America, Washington, DC

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Gabriela Marin Thornton

Authors: Amy Beth Coffman, James Crump, Robbi Dickson, Meaghan Mueller, Sarah Pulis

By analyzing Ukraine’s precarious security environment and assessing the current security situation in the Black Sea, this paper sought to identify a prototype for Ukraine’s role in the BSR. The result was a clear realization of Ukraine’s unique situation – a nation with divisionary demographics, external pressures on internal politics, and mixed ideas about economic opportunities and priorities in a neighborhood of states with competing influences and capabilities.

Spring 2010

China’s Pathways to Energy Security

Client: Long Range Analysis Unit, National Intelligence Council

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Christopher Layne

Authors: Steven Beard, Craig Caruana, Charles Coats, Robert Haguewood, Jong-Hwan Lee, Broderick Morgan, Joshua Murray, Michael Riedell

This project explores the growing web of connections in the area of energy interdependence among the East Asian states and India with oil producing states in the Persian Gulf region. The project examines whether these relations are primarily economic or geopolitical, and whether they herald a geostrategic shift with wealth and power flowing from West to East.

The Impact of the US Climate Legislation on Trade with China

Client: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Department of Energy

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Kishore Gawande

Authors: Sarah Acuna, Christopher Akujuobi, Nicholas Brigance, Zhen Du, Brian Kasper, Trevor Nearburg

In this project for the US Department of Energy, the team modeled the impacts of future US climate legislation. Policy scenarios are drawn from the American Clean Energy and Security Act (ACESA), which serves as a blueprint for the future. The goal was to motivate US producers to reduce emissions in five manufacturing industries: Iron and Steel, Non-ferrous Metals, Non-metallic Minerals, Pulp and Paper, and Chemicals.

Estimating the Economic Costs of Espionage

Client: CENTRA Technology

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Jeffrey Engel

Authors: Richard Bell, Jared Bennett, Jillian Boles, David Goodoien, Jeffrey Irving, Phillip Kuhlman, Amanda White

This Capstone group developed an analytical model, complete with programmed user interface, to aid intelligence analysts in estimating the expected economic impacts of economic espionage conducted by foreign corporations and countries.

Lessons Learned from the 9/11 and WMD Commissions

Client: Central Intelligence Agency

Supervising Instructor: Professor Ronald Sievert

Authors: Kristin Childress, Bethany Comley, Drew Davis, Timothy Hopp, Melissa Miller, Whitney Morehead, Amy Potter, Natalie Prendergast, Pablo Rivera

At the request of the CIA’s Center for the Study of Intelligence, a team from the Bush School conducted an inquiry to determine how the CIA responded to the investigations of the 9/11 and WMD Commissions. The goal was to identify what actions the D/CIA must take when confronted with future commissions to ensure that the most accurate picture of the Agency is presented.

China, Nonproliferation, and Beijing’s Relations with Iran, North Korea, and Pakistan

Client: Bureau of Intelligence and Research, U.S. Department of State

Supervising Instructor: Dr. Andrew Scobell

Authors: Nicholas Hogan, Thomas Kearney, Tina Li, Louellen Lowe, Cristine Salo, Gregory Stevenson, Adam Trull, Abby Volk

The INR tasked the Capstone group to explore how China manages its relations with three key proliferators: Iran, North Korea, and Pakistan. Within each bilateral relationship, the students found that Beijing consistently rated other foreign policy objectives above nonproliferation. Based on these findings, the Capstone group identified the interests the US should use as leverage to gain Chinese cooperation on nonproliferation initiatives.

Fall 2009

Pipeline Politics: Natural Gas in Eurasia

Client: U.S.-Ukraine Business Council

Project Advisor: Dr. Gabriela Marin Thornton

Authors: William Landrum, Benjamin Lewellyn, Craig Limesand, Dante Miller, James Morris, Kathleen Nowell, Charlotte Sherman

This project claims that Russia is using its energy monopoly to further its geostrategic aims: ensuring political influence in nearby countries, obtaining a rise in commodity prices, and returning to multi-polarity in which Russia maintains clear regional hegemony. The report argues that the US must promote development of pipelines that bypass Russian control and advance alternative domestic sources to ease European dependence on Russian energy.

Spring 2009

Assessing Regional Border Security

Client: Centra Technology, Inc./Department of Homeland Security

Supervising Instructor: Jeffrey A. Engel

The client sought a conceptual approach or theoretical model for determining how governments should value, assess, and balance risks that arise from illegal immigration, weapons smuggling, the narcotics trade, natural disasters, and terrorism. The students compiled and evaluated the available literature and developed a structure by which policymakers should consider the difficulties of regional risk assessment.

Combating Child Labor through DESTINO

Client: Creative Associates International, Inc./U.S. Department of Labor

Supervising Instructor: Kishore Gawande

This project focused on how to reduce child labor in Panama, using the DESTINO program, a joint effort of two Panamanian organizations: Casa Esperanza and Fundación Tierra Nueva. DESTINO seeks to reduce the incidence of child labor through community workshops, income generation activities, scholarship activities, teacher training programs, and civil society programs.

Effective Intelligence Operations During Counterinsurgency Campaigns

Client: The RAND Corporation/Department of Defense

Supervising Instructor: Jasen J. Castillo

This capstone project laid out a framework to help the intelligence community craft its own unique doctrine for counterinsurgencies. The project looked at intelligence operations crucial for defeating insurgencies, the operational factors that are most effective, and lessons learned from past counterinsurgency successes and failures.

Investigating the Current Terrorist Threat to the U.S. Homeland

Client: National Counter Terrorism Center

Supervising Instructor: Sara Daly

This project analyzed the current terrorist threat to the U.S. homeland both from homegrown terrorists and those who represent foreign terrorist organizations. The study examined recent cases of thwarted attacks and failed plots to determine current capabilities and tactics possessed by terrorist groups and individuals.

Proliferation Security Initiative

Client: Nuclear Nonproliferation Office of the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)

Supervising Instructor: Larry Napper

This capstone project conducted a focused examination of the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) and identified options for U.S. policy makers by designing a simulated interdiction operation. Capstone students joined students from Texas A&M’s Department of Nuclear Engineering to construct and execute a mini-move simulation.

2008

Human Security and National Security Reform: New Paths for International Leadership

Client: Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Stability Operations

This 2008 Capstone research continues the work of a 2007 project on interagency processes in support and stability operations. This study analyzed how US national security policies, strategies, and objectives have changed since 2001. It also estimated the effectiveness of the contemporary national security system in addressing “human security,” or threats to the survival of societies, groups, and individuals.

East Asian Security in 2025

Client: Long Range Analysis Unit, National Intelligence Council (NIC)

This project supported the National Intelligence Council’s production of its report Mapping the Future: 2025. With China’s great rise to power in the background, this capstone helped assess the most likely security outcomes for East Asia in 2025. The Capstone briefed the NIC and other analysts from the intelligence community and also briefed the China desk team under the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Asian and Pacific Security Affairs.

Provincial Reconstruction Teams & Counterinsurgency Training

Client: Joint Readiness Training Center (JRTC) at Ft. Polk, Louisiana

Two separate but parallel capstones combined intensive classroom study and civilian support field exercises to US military counterinsurgency operations, focused on the model of interagency Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRT) deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan. Students visited JRTC in Louisiana to play a PRT role during the training of a US Army Combat brigade en route to Iraq.

Capacity Building in Meat Exports From Southern Africa

Client: World Bank, Trade Division

This is the second part of a study asking whether exports to developed countries are hampered by the inability of developing Southern African countries to participate fully in the meat export market. After conducting in-depth research, students designed a survey model and flew two group members to Southern Africa to conduct the survey. Using supportive research, economic development theory, and survey results, students compiled a report presented to the client.

2007

The Interagency Process in Support & Stability Operations

Client: Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Stability Operations

This study addressed the support, stability, and reconstruction missions for the U.S. government in counterinsurgency warfare and suggests that interagency processes between civilian and military elements are in need of reform. The project examined, assessed, and defined the nature of these problems in the context of historical case studies, policymaking, and current operations, especially in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Developed Countries’ Imposed Standards on Trade of Agricultural Imports from Developing Countries

Client: World Bank Trade Division

This capstone project dealt with standards imposed on the trade of agricultural imports from developing countries by developed countries. BSE, foot and mouth disease, and avian flu are major concerns for US and European consumers. The project addressed whether there are alternatives to current policies and whether it is possible to institute policies that are less burdensome and yet achieve the desired outcome of reducing the risk of spreading diseases.

Framing a Comprehensive Approach to Climate Change

Client: The Long Range Analysis Group, National Intelligence Council (Director of National Intelligence)

Looking ahead to 2025, what policies should future US administrations consider as appropriate responses to climate change? The project addressed the most likely manifestations of global climate change, how politically salient the issue will be, low-probability but potentially catastrophic events, and the positive spin-offs from addressing climate change consequences.

U.S. Policy and the Future of Uzbekistan: Promoting Reform, Security, and Regional Stability

Client: U.S. Department of State

Students worked to develop an extensive database on contemporary Uzbekistan through library and online research and interviews with leading experts. Bush School students constructed and executed a multi-move simulation to explore the challenges, opportunities, and policy options confronting U.S. policy-makers.

The Peking Diary: George H.W. Bush and China: 1974-75

Client: Princeton University Press

Students researched the diary of George Bush, 41st President of the United States, written during the time he served as the Chief of the U.S. Liaison Office in Beijing (1974-1975). Searching through archives and preparing text and footnotes, the students contributed work for an upcoming publication from Princeton University Press.

2006

Command and Control in the Iraqi Insurgency

Client: Centra Technology

The Iraqi insurgency was formed by multiple nationalities and ethnicities with disparate goals and motivations. A central question to understanding the insurgency’s unity is whether there is command and control, which is defined as the sharing of tactics, information, and skills. This capstone explored this question by investigating how insurgent groups in the past have managed to communicate and disseminate tactics, even while operating in a dangerous environment controlled by their more powerful adversary.

Applications to Homeland Security from the Katrina and Rita Hurricanes

Client: County Judge Randy Sims, Texas Director of Homeland Security, and the Department of Homeland Security

Gaps of understanding exist between Homeland Security Response and Recovery strategies and policies at the federal level versus understanding, authority, and capability at the state and local level. Hurricanes Katrina and Rita provide an excellent case study to see what policies should be changed in the areas of response and recovery to major disasters in the future.

Analysis of the President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board

Client: Ambassador David Abshire and the Laury Foundation

The President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board (PFIAB) was established in 1956 to provide the President with a nonpartisan evaluation of the role and effectiveness of U.S. intelligence collection, counterintelligence, covert action operations, and intelligence analysis. In the wake of the 9/11 tragedy and the new intelligence reform environment, this analysis examined the role of the PFIAB to determine its strengths and weaknesses and to identify a productive role in the new environment.

Finance for Low Income Communities: Possible Applications of US Experience for India

Client: Grameen Bank

Much of the world’s poor has difficulty in obtaining loans, especially microfinance. Students in this capstone project interacted with members from both the Community Reinvestment Fund (CRF) and Grameen Capital India (GCI) and applied the lessons of the CRF to the GCI. They provided valuable advice to GCI on how it can enhance financial assistance for very small entrepreneurs in India, especially housing finance.