Andrew Byers, a Non-Resident Fellow with the Albritton Center for Grand Strategy, has a recently published article titled “Can the US and China Forge a Cold Peace?” in the journal Survival.
Article Abstract:
Mainstream assessments of the US–China relationship are undergoing profound changes. Whereas many assessments once suggested that Chinese economic liberalisation and increased bilateral trade would lead to Chinese political liberalisation and a warm peace, most US foreign-policy experts now assume that a US–China cold war is the most likely outcome. While a warm peace is unlikely, a cold peace could be achieved, and it would be preferable to a cold war. The ‘cooperation spirals’ model could yield a viable pathway for enhancing cooperation between Washington and Beijing, and restoring stability and predictability to the US–China relationship.